NCAAF

Early Draft Declarations That Shocked Fans

The 2026 NFL Draft declaration window produced several decisions that genuinely surprised the college football world. Moves that no one saw coming, that contradicted prior public statements, and that reshaped both the draft class itself and the rosters of the programs those players left behind.

Alex Baconbits
·
March 5, 2026
·
5 Minutes

Darian Mensah Leaving Duke Was Most Stunning

The most stunning declaration of the entire cycle was Darian Mensah leaving Duke.

A move so unexpected that it was initially reported as a rumor before CBS Sports confirmed it.

Mensah had just led Duke to an ACC Championship and was earning $4 million annually under a two-year NIL contract.

He had publicly indicated he intended to return.

Mensah's shocking move:

  • Just led Duke to ACC Championship
  • Earning $4M annually under two-year NIL contract
  • Publicly said he intended to return
  • Sequence unfolded in roughly 72 hours

And then he declared, entered the transfer portal, and signed with Miami. A sequence of events that unfolded in roughly 72 hours and left Duke scrambling to find a replacement quarterback.

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NFL Scouts Advised Mensah to Stay Another Year

The NFL Draft buzz around Mensah existed, but scouts had communicated to his camp that an additional season of development against better competition would strengthen his case considerably.

His decision to bypass that advice revealed the degree to which modern college football's most important decisions are made on information that the public never sees.

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Fernando Mendoza Won Heisman Then Declared

Fernando Mendoza's declaration from Indiana was less shocking in the sense that his talent was widely recognized, but the timing and context made it genuinely surprising.

Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy playing for a program that went undefeated in the regular season.

Yet the expectation among most analysts was that he would return for one more season to further cement his legacy and strengthen his first-round positioning.

Mendoza's surprise declaration:

  • Won 2025 Heisman Trophy
  • Indiana went undefeated in regular season
  • Most expected him to return for one more year
  • Declared immediately after CFP

Instead, Mendoza declared immediately after the CFP, entering a draft class where Daniel Jeremiah's No. 1 overall prospect ranking validated his decision unambiguously.

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Jeremiyah Love Departed After Notre Dame CFP Run

Jeremiyah Love's declaration from Notre Dame was the running back storyline that defined the early cycle.

Love was Daniel Jeremiah's No. 2 overall prospect (the top non-quarterback in the entire class), and his departure from South Bend immediately became the narrative engine for discussions about Notre Dame's offensive identity going forward.

Love had finished the regular season with 1,125 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns while playing on the largest college football stage available.

Love's Notre Dame departure:

  • Daniel Jeremiah's No. 2 overall prospect
  • Top non-QB in entire class
  • 1,125 rushing yards, 17 TDs in regular season
  • Complete profile: inside rushing, pass-catching, special teams

His tape had the kind of complete profile (inside rushing, pass-catching, special teams value) that NFL evaluators typically demand from elite backs.

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Sonny Styles and Arvell Reese Stripped Ohio State LB Corps

Sonny Styles' decision to leave Ohio State surprised fans primarily because of the timing.

Styles was projected as a rising junior with additional eligibility, and his departure with the program still positioned as a CFP contender raised eyebrows.

His linebacker partner Arvell Reese declared simultaneously, effectively stripping Ohio State's linebacking corps of both starters in a single announcement.

Ohio State LB exodus:

  • Styles and Reese declared simultaneously
  • Stripped LB corps of both starters at once
  • Programs lose multiple first-rounders every year
  • Losing them in same position group creates structural challenge

Programs lose multiple first-rounders to the draft every year, but losing them in the same position group at the same time creates a structural challenge that even the deepest rosters struggle to absorb immediately.

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Decision-Making Process Accelerating

The broader pattern across all of these declarations is the accelerating speed of the modern decision-making process.

Players are now receiving NFL scout feedback during the season through their agents and family networks, rather than waiting for post-season evaluation periods.

By the time the CFP ends, the most coveted prospects already know where they stand on NFL teams' boards, what contract range they're projecting to, and whether an additional college season would meaningfully improve or risk damaging their position.

Modern NFL Draft information:

  • Players get scout feedback during season
  • Through agents and family networks
  • Know where they stand by CFP end
  • Know contract range projections

The era of the unexpected early declaration is, paradoxically, becoming the new normal.

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The Bottom Line on Shocking Draft Declarations

Darian Mensah leaving Duke most stunning (just led Duke to ACC Championship, earning $4M annually, publicly said returning, declared and entered portal in 72 hours). Fernando Mendoza won 2025 Heisman at Indiana (most expected him to return, declared immediately after CFP, Daniel Jeremiah's No. 1 overall). Jeremiyah Love departed Notre Dame (Daniel Jeremiah's No. 2 overall, 1,125 yards and 17 TDs). Sonny Styles and Arvell Reese declared simultaneously (stripped Ohio State LB corps of both starters at once). Players now receive scout feedback during season through agents (know where they stand by CFP end, accelerating decision-making process).

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