NFL Teams Ranked by Red Zone Efficiency: 2025 Season

Red zone efficiency wins games. Elite finishing wins bets.

The 2025 NFL season through Week 14 has shown which teams can actually finish drives. Some teams are converting 70%+ of red zone trips into touchdowns. Others can barely crack 45% and settle for field goals constantly.

This ranking breaks down all 32 teams by their red zone efficiency. We're tracking touchdown conversion rates, red zone trips, red zone touchdowns scored, and which teams can actually punch it in when it matters. These metrics predict totals, team totals, and touchdown props better than almost anything else.

When the Eagles are converting 70.97% of red zone trips into touchdowns, team totals and anytime touchdown props are automatic money. When the Saints are converting just 41.18%, fade team totals and touchdown props entirely.

Sharp bettors know red zone efficiency predicts scoring better than total yardage. Elite red zone offenses (65%+ TD rate, 4.0+ red zone trips per game) score fast and cover team totals. Weak red zone offenses (under 50% TD rate, under 3.0 red zone trips per game) settle for field goals and kill totals.

No fluff. Just the rankings that matter for betting smarter.

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The Top 10 Elite Red Zone Offenses

These teams are finishing drives and scoring touchdowns consistently. If you're betting team totals or anytime touchdown props, this is your starting lineup.

#1: Philadelphia Eagles (70.97% TD Rate)

The Eagles lead the NFL with an elite 70.97% red zone touchdown conversion rate, the highest in the league. Philadelphia has scored 22 red zone touchdowns on just 31 red zone trips, demonstrating exceptional efficiency when opportunities arise. However, they've reached the red zone only 31 times all season (tied for the fewest among playoff contenders), averaging just 2.5 red zone attempts per game. This creates a weird dynamic where Philadelphia is extremely efficient but doesn't get many opportunities.

Betting angle: Eagles team totals are sharp plays despite their low red zone trip volume. When they get opportunities, they score touchdowns at elite rates. Hurts anytime touchdown props are automatic money. He's scoring on the ground consistently inside the 10-yard line. Eagles overs are profitable when they face weak red zone defenses because they'll capitalize on every opportunity. Also, Eagles first-half team totals are sharp plays because they score fast when they get into the red zone. When Philadelphia is favored, hammer team total overs because they finish drives with touchdowns, not field goals.

#2: Green Bay Packers (68.09% TD Rate)

The Packers rank second with a 68.09% red zone touchdown rate, converting at an elite level. Green Bay has scored 32 red zone touchdowns (third-most in the league) on 47 red zone trips, averaging 4.0 attempts per game. The Packers are getting opportunities and capitalizing at exceptional rates. What separates Green Bay is their combination of volume and efficiency. They're reaching the red zone often and scoring touchdowns consistently.

Jordan Love has been exceptional in the red zone. He's accurate on back-shoulder fades, RPOs, and play-action concepts that create easy touchdowns. Green Bay also has elite red zone receivers who win contested catches. When Love throws a back-shoulder fade to Romeo Doubs or Christian Watson inside the 10-yard line, it's usually a touchdown.

However, Green Bay's red zone defense allows 58.33% touchdowns (18th in the league), which means opponents are also scoring when they get opportunities. This creates high-scoring games where both teams finish drives with touchdowns instead of field goals.

#3: Los Angeles Rams (66.67% TD Rate)

The Rams convert 66.67% of red zone opportunities into touchdowns, tied with Detroit for third-best. Los Angeles leads the NFL with 56 total red zone trips and 4.3 red zone attempts per game (second-most in the league). The Rams have scored a league-leading 37 red zone touchdowns, which is absurd production. What makes LA so dominant is volume plus efficiency. They're reaching the red zone more often than anyone and scoring touchdowns at elite rates.

Matthew Stafford has been exceptional in the red zone. He's throwing 37 red zone touchdowns on 56 trips, which means he's averaging 0.66 touchdowns per red zone trip. Stafford uses back-shoulder fades, slants, and play-action to create easy scoring opportunities. Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are elite red zone targets who win contested catches.

The Rams' red zone defense is also exceptional, allowing only 42.50% touchdowns (second-best in the NFL). Opponents have reached their red zone 40 times and scored just 17 touchdowns. This means the Rams win the red zone battle on both sides of the ball, which is why they're one of the best teams in football.

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#4: Detroit Lions (66.67% TD Rate)

The Lions match the Rams with a 66.67% red zone touchdown conversion rate (tied for third-best). Detroit has scored 34 red zone touchdowns (third-most in the league) on 51 red zone trips, averaging 3.9 attempts per game. The Lions are getting opportunities and capitalizing at elite rates. What makes Detroit so effective is Jared Goff's accuracy and the Lions' diverse play-calling inside the 20-yard line.

Goff has been exceptional in the red zone this season. He's completing passes at elite rates on slants, fades, and RPOs that create easy touchdowns. Detroit also uses Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery effectively in short-yardage situations, which gives them multiple ways to score. When defenses load the box to stop the run, Goff throws over the top. When defenses play coverage, the Lions run power concepts with Montgomery.

Betting angle: Lions team totals are automatic money. They score touchdowns at elite rates, which makes overs consistently profitable. Gibbs and Montgomery anytime touchdown props are sharp plays. Both backs get goal-line carries and convert at elite rates. Lions overs are sharp plays because they score touchdowns consistently and their defense also allows touchdowns in the red zone, creating high-scoring games. When Detroit plays other high-scoring offenses (Packers, Rams, Bills), hammer overs because both teams will finish drives with touchdowns. First-half overs are profitable because Detroit scores fast early.

#5: Washington Commanders (65.71% TD Rate)

The Commanders rank fifth with a 65.71% red zone touchdown rate. Washington has scored 23 red zone touchdowns on just 35 red zone trips, averaging only 2.5 attempts per game (tied for fewest among contenders). This creates a similar dynamic to Philadelphia where Washington is extremely efficient but doesn't get many red zone opportunities. When they do get inside the 20-yard line, they're capitalizing at elite rates.

Jayden Daniels has been exceptional in the red zone as a rookie. He's using his legs to create easy touchdowns and making accurate throws on RPOs and play-action concepts. Washington's offensive scheme creates mismatches in the red zone by using motion and pre-snap shifts that confuse defenses.

However, Washington's red zone defense struggles significantly, allowing 64.00% touchdowns (27th in the league). Opponents have reached their red zone 50 times and scored 32 touchdowns (tied for second-most allowed). This means Washington gives up points when opponents get close, which creates high-scoring games.

#6: Indianapolis Colts (64.29% TD Rate)

The Colts rank sixth with a 64.29% red zone touchdown rate. Indianapolis leads the NFL with 57 total red zone trips and 4.4 red zone attempts per game (most in the league), demonstrating their ability to move the ball effectively between the 20s. They've scored 36 red zone touchdowns (second-most in the NFL). What makes Indianapolis so effective is volume. They're reaching the red zone more often than anyone and converting at strong rates.

Jonathan Taylor has been dominant in the red zone. He leads the NFL with 24 rushing touchdowns, which means he's getting goal-line carries and converting consistently. When the Colts get inside the 10-yard line, they're handing the ball to Taylor and letting him pound it in. Defenses know it's coming but can't stop it.

The Colts' red zone defense allows 54.90% touchdowns (middle of the pack). Opponents have reached their red zone 51 times and scored 28 touchdowns, which means Indianapolis gives up scores when opponents get close.

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#7: Pittsburgh Steelers (64.10% TD Rate)

The Steelers rank seventh with a 64.10% red zone touchdown rate. Pittsburgh has scored 25 red zone touchdowns on 39 red zone trips, averaging 3.0 attempts per game. The Steelers are solid but not dominant in red zone volume. What makes Pittsburgh effective is their balanced approach. They can run power concepts with their backs or throw jump balls to receivers.

Russell Wilson has been solid in the red zone, using play-action and back-shoulder fades to create touchdowns. Pittsburgh's offensive scheme also uses tight ends effectively in the red zone on seam routes and option routes that create mismatches.

Pittsburgh's red zone defense is strong, allowing just 52.08% touchdowns (seventh in the league). Opponents have reached their red zone 48 times and scored only 25 touchdowns, which means the Steelers prevent scores when opponents get close. This keeps games low-scoring.

#8: San Francisco 49ers (62.50% TD Rate)

The 49ers rank eighth with a 62.50% red zone touchdown rate. San Francisco has scored 30 red zone touchdowns on 48 red zone trips, averaging 3.6 attempts per game. The 49ers are getting solid red zone volume and converting at above-average rates. What makes San Francisco effective is Kyle Shanahan's play-calling. He uses motion, misdirection, and play-action to create easy touchdowns.

Brock Purdy has been solid in the red zone, using quick passes and RPOs to create scoring opportunities. San Francisco also uses Christian McCaffrey (when healthy) and Deebo Samuel effectively in short-yardage situations, which gives them multiple ways to score.

The 49ers' red zone defense allows 56.10% touchdowns (middle of the pack). Opponents have reached their red zone 41 times and scored 23 touchdowns.

Betting angle: 49ers team totals are profitable when they're healthy. They convert at above-average rates and get solid red zone volume. 49ers overs are sharp plays when they face weak red zone defenses. When San Francisco is healthy and playing weak defenses (Cardinals, Rams, Seahawks), hammer team total overs. CMC and Deebo anytime touchdown props are sharp plays when healthy.

#9: Buffalo Bills (61.70% TD Rate)

The Bills rank ninth with a 61.70% red zone touchdown rate. Buffalo has scored 29 red zone touchdowns on 47 red zone trips, averaging 3.5 attempts per game. The Bills are getting solid red zone volume and converting at above-average rates. What makes Buffalo effective is Josh Allen's ability to create touchdowns with his legs when plays break down.

Allen has been solid in the red zone, using his legs to score and making accurate throws on RPOs and play-action concepts. Buffalo also uses James Cook effectively on goal-line situations, which creates multiple scoring threats.

Betting angle: Bills team totals are profitable. They convert at above-average rates and get solid red zone volume. Allen anytime touchdown props are automatic money. He scores on the ground consistently inside the 10-yard line. Bills overs are sharp plays when they face weak red zone defenses. When Buffalo plays weak defenses (Jets, Patriots, Dolphins), hammer team total overs. Allen touchdown props should be bet consistently.

#10: Kansas City Chiefs (61.54% TD Rate)

The Chiefs rank 10th with a 61.54% red zone touchdown rate. Kansas City has scored 32 red zone touchdowns (tied for third-most) on 52 red zone trips (fourth-most in the league), averaging 4.3 attempts per game (tied for second-most). The Chiefs are getting elite red zone volume and converting at above-average rates. What makes Kansas City effective is Patrick Mahomes' ability to improvise and create touchdowns when plays break down.

Kansas City's red zone defense is strong, allowing just 53.85% touchdowns (10th in the league). Opponents have reached their red zone just 39 times and scored 21 touchdowns, which means the Chiefs prevent both red zone opportunities and touchdowns.

Betting angle: Chiefs team totals are automatic money. They lead the NFL in red zone trips and score touchdowns at above-average rates. Mahomes and Kelce anytime touchdown props are sharp plays. Both score consistently in the red zone. Chiefs overs are profitable because they reach the red zone often and score touchdowns. When Kansas City plays weak red zone defenses (Raiders, Panthers, Browns), hammer team total overs. Chiefs first-half overs are profitable because they score fast early.

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The Middle Tier: Inconsistent Red Zone Offenses (Teams 11-20)

These offenses convert at average rates but lack the consistency or volume of the elite tier. Bet them situationally based on matchups.

Teams 11-15: Above Average But Not Elite

#11: Seattle Seahawks (60.00% TD rate) - Seattle has scored 27 red zone touchdowns on 45 trips. They convert at average rates with solid volume. Their red zone defense is excellent, allowing only 50.00% touchdowns (sixth-best). Seahawks unders are sharp plays.

#12: Jacksonville Jaguars (59.18% TD rate) - Jacksonville has scored 29 red zone touchdowns on 49 trips. They get solid volume and convert at average rates. Jaguars team totals are situationally profitable.

#13: Denver Broncos (59.09% TD rate) - Denver has scored 26 red zone touchdowns on 44 trips. However, their red zone defense is elite, allowing just 40.00% touchdowns (best in the NFL). Broncos unders are automatic money.

#14: Minnesota Vikings (58.97% TD rate) - Minnesota has scored 23 red zone touchdowns on 39 trips. Their red zone defense is excellent, allowing 46.15% touchdowns (third-best). Vikings unders are sharp plays.

#15: Dallas Cowboys (58.82% TD rate) - Dallas has scored 30 red zone touchdowns on 51 trips (tied for fourth-most volume). However, their red zone defense is terrible, allowing 72.00% touchdowns (second-worst). Cowboys overs are automatic because both teams score touchdowns.

Teams 16-20: Below Average Efficiency

#16: Cleveland Browns (58.06% TD rate) - Cleveland has scored only 18 red zone touchdowns on 31 trips (tied for fewest volume). Browns team totals are fade material.

#17: Cincinnati Bengals (57.89% TD rate) - Cincinnati has scored 22 red zone touchdowns on 38 trips. Their red zone defense is terrible, allowing 64.29% touchdowns (28th). Bengals overs are sharp plays because both teams score touchdowns.

#18: Atlanta Falcons (57.89% TD rate) - Atlanta has scored 22 red zone touchdowns on 38 trips. Falcons team totals are situationally profitable.

#19: Chicago Bears (57.78% TD rate) - Chicago has scored 26 red zone touchdowns on 45 trips. Bears team totals are situationally profitable.

#20: Arizona Cardinals (56.86% TD rate) - Arizona has scored 29 red zone touchdowns on 51 trips (tied for fourth-most volume). Cardinals team totals are situationally profitable because they get volume.

Shurzy Tip: Teams converting under 60% in the red zone are fade candidates for team totals. They settle for field goals too often.

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Bottom 10: Terrible Red Zone Offenses (Teams 21-32)

These red zone offenses are brutal. If you're betting team totals or touchdown props on these teams, you're lighting money on fire.

#21: Miami Dolphins (55.26% TD rate) - Miami has scored 21 red zone touchdowns on 38 trips. Fade Dolphins team totals. They settle for field goals too often.

#22: Tennessee Titans (52.17% TD rate) - Tennessee has the fewest red zone trips with just 23, averaging only 1.8 attempts per game. They've scored only 12 red zone touchdowns (fewest in the league). Fade Titans team totals always.

#23: Las Vegas Raiders (51.61% TD rate) - Las Vegas has scored only 16 red zone touchdowns on 31 trips. Fade Raiders team totals entirely.

#24: New England Patriots (51.06% TD rate) - New England has scored only 24 red zone touchdowns on 47 trips despite solid volume. Fade Patriots team totals.

#25: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (50.00% TD rate) - Tampa Bay converts exactly 50% of red zone opportunities. They've scored 19 red zone touchdowns on 38 trips. Fade Buccaneers team totals.

#26: Carolina Panthers (50.00% TD rate) - Carolina has scored 20 red zone touchdowns on 40 trips. Fade Panthers team totals.

#27: Los Angeles Chargers (50.00% TD rate) - The Chargers convert exactly 50% of red zone opportunities. They've scored 21 red zone touchdowns on 42 trips. Fade Chargers team totals entirely.

#28: New York Jets (48.39% TD rate) - The Jets have scored only 15 red zone touchdowns on 31 trips. Fade Jets team totals always. They can't finish drives.

#29: New York Giants (47.62% TD rate) - The Giants have scored only 20 red zone touchdowns on 42 trips despite solid volume. Fade Giants team totals.

#30: Baltimore Ravens (44.90% TD rate) - The Ravens convert just 44.90% of red zone opportunities, a major offensive weakness. They've scored only 22 red zone touchdowns on 49 trips. Fade Ravens team totals despite their rushing dominance.

#31: Houston Texans (44.19% TD rate) - Houston converts 44.19% of red zone opportunities (second-worst in the NFL). They've scored only 19 red zone touchdowns on 43 trips. Fade Texans team totals entirely.

#32: New Orleans Saints (41.18% TD rate) - The Saints have the worst red zone offense in the NFL, converting just 41.18%. They've scored only 14 red zone touchdowns (second-fewest) on 34 trips. Fade Saints team totals always. They can't finish drives.

Shurzy Tip: Teams converting under 50% in the red zone are automatic fades for team totals. They settle for field goals and can't score touchdowns.

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Key Trends & Takeaways

The 2025 NFL season is showing clear patterns in red zone efficiency that sharp bettors are exploiting.

Elite quarterbacks dominate in the red zone. Hurts, Love, Stafford, and Goff are all converting 65%+ of red zone opportunities into touchdowns. When these quarterbacks face weak red zone defenses, team totals and anytime touchdown props are automatic money.

Red zone defense matters as much as offense. The Broncos allow just 40.00% touchdowns (best in the NFL), which makes their unders consistently profitable. The Cowboys allow 72.00% touchdowns (second-worst), which makes their overs automatic.

Volume matters more than efficiency for props. The Colts lead the NFL with 57 red zone trips, which makes Jonathan Taylor touchdown props the most reliable in football. The Titans have only 23 red zone trips, which makes their touchdown props unplayable.

Red zone struggles kill offenses. The Ravens, Texans, and Saints all convert under 45% of red zone opportunities, which makes their team totals consistent fades. When these teams get inside the 20-yard line, they settle for field goals.

The bottom 10 is historically bad. Teams converting under 50% (Jets, Giants, Ravens, Texans, Saints, Buccaneers, Panthers, Chargers) can't finish drives. Fade team totals and touchdown props on these teams always.

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Wrapping It Up

The Eagles, Packers, and Rams are the NFL's elite red zone offenses in 2025. Philadelphia's 70.97% conversion rate, Green Bay's volume and efficiency, and LA's league-leading 37 red zone touchdowns make team totals and touchdown props consistently profitable.

The middle tier (Seahawks through Cardinals) is inconsistent. Bet them situationally based on opponent red zone defense, not blindly.

The bottom 10 is tragic. The Saints, Texans, Ravens, Giants, and Jets can't finish drives. Fade team totals and touchdown props on these teams always.

Sharp bettors track red zone touchdown conversion rates (efficiency), red zone trips per game (volume), and red zone touchdowns scored (production). These metrics predict team totals and touchdown props better than total yardage.

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