Sports Betting

Best UFC Welterweights Ranked: 2026

The welterweight division is on fire right now. A new two-division champion, multiple unbeaten contenders, and the most anticipated return in the division's recent history make 170 pounds the most exciting betting division in the sport heading into 2026. Here's how the welterweight division stacks up for 2026, with specific betting angles attached to every tier.

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March 26, 2026
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Who Is the Welterweight Champion?

Islam Makhachev (C) — 28-1 is the welterweight champion after beating Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322, cementing himself as a two-division champion and the number one pound-for-pound fighter on the planet. He vacated the lightweight belt to make this run, and he's now the most dominant fighter in the sport regardless of weight class.

From a betting standpoint, Makhachev as a significant favorite against any welterweight currently ranked outside the top two is justified by the skill gap. His grappling is the best in the sport, his striking has evolved dramatically over the past three years, and his cardio allows him to sustain a pace that breaks opponents across five rounds. The question in every Makhachev fight isn't whether he wins — it's whether he finishes, which makes method of victory props the most interesting market in his fights.

Who Are the Top Welterweight Contenders?

These fighters have the most legitimate title claims and offer real betting value in their matchups against each other and against the champion.

  • Michael Morales — 19-0: FightMatrix's number two welterweight after a first-round TKO over Sean Brady and an earlier win over Gilbert Burns in 2025. He went from prospect to legitimate contender in a single year, which is one of the fastest climbs the division has seen. At plus money against anyone outside the top three, Morales is a reliable favorite play whose unbeaten record isn't fully reflected in his public name recognition yet.
  • Shavkat Rakhmonov — 18-0: Undefeated and widely seen as the most dangerous fighter in the division when healthy. He hasn't fought since late 2024 due to injury, which is the only thing separating him from a mandatory title shot. His return fight — whenever it happens — is the most anticipated event in the welterweight division. Getting ahead of his futures price before the fight is announced is the most actionable edge in the division right now.
  • Ian Machado Garry: Beat Carlos Prates in a main event in late 2025, giving him wins over a former champion and a dangerous contender. Ranked number six in the official UFC table but rising fast in algorithmic systems. His technical striking and fight IQ make him a reliable favorite against most of the division and a legitimate title contender.
  • Carlos Prates: Beat Leon Edwards in 2025 and remains one of the most dangerous strikers in the division. His KO power and leg kick game create specific prop value — method of victory props on Prates fights skew heavily toward KO/TKO at rates the market doesn't always fully price.

Read more: The Complete Guide to UFC Betting Strategy

Who Rounds Out the Top 10?

  • Belal Muhammad — 24-5: Former interim champion and all-around elite fighter. Dropped to Garry but still ranked top six by FightMatrix and official UFC rankings. His next fight against Gabriel Bonfim on June 6, 2026 is worth tracking — a strong performance puts him back in the title conversation.
  • Sean Brady — 17-2: Elite wrestler and grappler who lost to Morales but remains top eight across most platforms. His grappling creates matchup problems for strikers, making him a reliable favorite against opponents who haven't shown elite takedown defense.
  • Leon Edwards — 22-4: Former undisputed champion who lost to Prates in 2025 but remains a credible title contender when healthy. His experience and technical level keep him relevant even after a loss.
  • Kamaru Usman — 20-4: Still ranked top five in the official UFC table. Aging but his veteran presence and championship experience keep him in the mix. Live underdog value exists when he's priced as a significant dog against younger contenders.
  • Joaquin Buckley — 18-5: Powerful striker and dangerous finisher ranked number eight in the official UFC table. His KO ability makes him a live underdog against anyone in the top 10 on the right night.

How to Bet the Welterweight Division

  • Makhachev title fights: Method of victory props are the most interesting market. His submission rate is elite but his striking has improved enough that TKO props are worth exploring. The total rounds under is almost always worth considering given his finishing ability.
  • Rakhmonov futures: Getting his title shot odds before his return fight is announced is the clearest pre-fight value in the division. When he returns healthy, his price will compress immediately.
  • Morales props: His finishing rate is elite and his unbeaten record against ranked competition is real. When he's available at moderate favorite prices against top-ten opponents, that price understates his actual win probability.
  • Prates method of victory: His KO/TKO props are consistently underpriced because casual bettors back decisions in close stylistic matchups. When Prates fights, the KO/TKO prop at plus money is almost always worth a position.

Before placing your next wager, take a look at the Live Odds on Shurzy. Compare current lines, futures markets, and betting trends across the NHL, NBA, MLB, UFC and more.

Read more: The Best Wrestlers in the UFC Ranked for 2026

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