NFL Moneyline Matchups for Week 3 (and Predictions)

Lions (+120) at Packers

Detroit has been a moneyline darling for bettors willing to fade the market. At +120, they’re slight underdogs in Lambeau, but history says the Lions can pull it off. They’ve taken six of the last ten against Green Bay, including two straight on the road.

The Packers’ defense is tough in the trenches, but they’ve allowed chunk passing plays that Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown can exploit. Detroit’s offensive line is one of the league’s best, keeping Goff upright and drives alive.

The nfl betting public will lean Green Bay at home, but sharp bettors know Detroit has value. If you’re building parlay bets, this is the underdog that boosts your payout.

Prediction: Lions win outright, 27–24.

Eagles (-240) vs. Giants

Philadelphia is the moneyline chalk this week. Sitting around -240, they’re a heavy favorite, but for good reason. At home, the Eagles dominate. They’ve covered moneyline tickets in 14 of their last 16 home games, usually with room to spare.

The Giants roll in with offensive line injuries and a defense that hasn’t shown it can slow down Jalen Hurts. Philly’s offense averages nearly 30 points per game at home. Unless Daniel Jones suddenly finds elite form, this one’s lopsided.

For nfl betting today, Eagles moneyline is too steep solo, but it’s a perfect parlay anchor. Pair it with a live dog like Detroit or Baltimore to juice your payout.

Prediction: Eagles win, 31–17.

Ravens (+125) at Bills

Baltimore as a road dog is always dangerous. At +125, they’re priced like a longshot, but Lamar Jackson keeps games tight. Buffalo’s defense is strong but has struggled against mobile QBs, and Baltimore’s scheme can create mismatches with Mark Andrews working the middle.

The total sits high (over 52), meaning oddsmakers expect scoring on both sides. That gives value to the underdog—if both teams trade touchdowns, the margin for error shrinks.

The nfl betting public is leaning Buffalo, but moneyline value lies with Baltimore. If you like bold plays, this is the one.

Prediction: Ravens win in a shootout, 34–31.

Cowboys (-190) vs. Commanders

Dallas has the better roster, better quarterback, and the league’s most disruptive pass rush. At -190, they’re moderately priced favorites, and for good reason. Micah Parsons against Washington’s shaky O-line feels like a mismatch that flips the game.

Sam Howell is improving, but turnovers remain a problem. Dallas thrives on short fields and defensive touchdowns, which makes their moneyline safer than the spread. If you’re avoiding point spread betting stress, this is the pick.

The nfl odds and scores projection has Dallas winning by about a touchdown. That makes the moneyline play more attractive for parlays.

Prediction: Cowboys win, 27–20.

Dolphins (-145) vs. Jets

Division games get messy, but Miami’s offense is too much for most defenses. At -145, the Dolphins are slight favorites, with Tua, Tyreek, and Waddle looking electric through two weeks.

The Jets’ defense is elite, but their offense hasn’t kept pace. Unless they win the turnover battle big, it’s tough to see them matching Miami score-for-score. The spread is tight, which makes the moneyline the cleaner play.

For nfl betting props, Tyreek Hill’s over/under receiving yards is another way to ride Miami, but the moneyline itself is good value under -150.

Prediction: Dolphins win, 28–23.

Vikings (-320) vs. Bears

Minnesota is a heavy home favorite at -320. The Bears’ offense is inconsistent, and Justin Fields still hasn’t found rhythm as a passer. Chicago may keep it close for stretches, but Jefferson and Cousins usually light up bad secondaries.

The risk here is payout. At this price, you’re tying up bankroll for limited return. Unless you’re stacking parlays, skip the solo moneyline. Still, the Vikings are the right side if you want safe action.

Prediction: Vikings win, 30–20.

How to Bet NFL Moneylines in Week 3

Moneyline betting looks simple, but it’s where the smartest players mix safe chalk with high-upside dogs. Here are three tips:

1. Chalk as anchors: Teams like the Eagles or Vikings make great parlay legs. The odds are short, but they rarely lose outright.
   
   
2. Underdogs with paths to win: Look for live dogs like Detroit or Baltimore. Their quarterbacks and offensive lines give them chances in tough spots.
   
   
3. Watch line movement: If a dog moves from +150 to +120, sharp money is hitting it. The nfl betting public usually follows favorites, so watch where the professionals put their cash.

Our Favorite Week 3 Moneyline Parlay

• Eagles ML (-240)
  
  
• Dolphins ML (-145)
  
  
• Lions ML (+120)
  
  

This three-legger pays around +450. It blends chalk with a live dog, giving you a balanced ticket. The Eagles are your safe play, the Dolphins are modest favorites, and Detroit adds the juice.

If you want more risk:

• Ravens ML (+125)
  
  
• Lions ML (+120)
  
  
• Cowboys ML (-190)
  
  

That combo pays closer to +900, high risk but huge bragging rights if it hits.

Final Takeaways

NFL moneyline betting is the simplest way to get action, but finding value requires more than picking favorites. Week 3 gives us chalk plays like Philly and Minnesota, plus live underdogs like Detroit and Baltimore that can flip your weekend card.

Stick to games where the matchup favors your side. Check the nfl injury report, track nfl odds by week, and don’t be afraid to mix favorites and dogs into parlays. Whether you’re chasing safer plays or swinging bold, the moneyline market is where casual fans can feel sharp.

Check out our full betting toolset to start spotting profitable lines.

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