NFL Point Spread Matchups for Week 1 (and Predictions)
You don’t need a spreadsheet to crush the point spread. You just need a smart read, a cold drink, and maybe a buddy yelling “TAKE THE DOG” from the couch. This is your Week 1 in the NFL cheat sheet. Full of point spread matchups, bold predictions, and enough edge to make your bookie sweat.
What is a point spread?
Think of the point spread like Vegas trying to play ref. They toss points at the underdog to make the matchup fair. Your job? Decide who stomps and who just survives.
If the Eagles are –7 against the Cowboys, they need to win by 8 or more to “cover.” If they win by exactly 7? That’s a push—you get your money back. If the Cowboys lose by 6 or less (or win), your bet on Dallas hits.
That’s it. Margin > outcome. No spreadsheets. No mathletes. Just vibes and smart picks.
Need the deep dive? Peep our point spread betting glossary page. We even kept the big words out.
NFL Week 1 Schedule: Who’s Playing and Who’s Covering
Let’s not waste time. Here’s what’s locked in for Week 1 of the NFL season:
- Thursday, Sept 4: Cowboys @ Eagles (Eagles –7, total 46.5)
- Sunday, Sept 7: Chiefs vs Chargers (in Brazil), Bills vs Ravens, Colts vs Dolphins... and 12 more bangers.
Yeah, the NFL said “divisional drama only” for the season openers. And every book from Vegas to your favorite sketchy app has a line.
Here’s how the top Week 1 point spreads are shaping up:
- Eagles –7 vs Cowboys
- Chiefs –2.5 vs Chargers (São Paulo showdown)
- Bills –1.5 vs Ravens
- Colts –1.5 vs Dolphins
Want to see them all in one place? Our NFL odds by week tool has every line, every total, and updates faster than your group chat after a bad beat.
How to Bet Point Spread (Without Googling “What’s a Push?”)
You bet the favorite to win big. You bet the underdog to keep it close or shock the world.
Example: Let’s say you take Eagles –7.
- They win by 10? You win.
- They win by 7? You push (refund).
- They win by 6? Yikes. Cowboys +7 wins.
It’s not rocket science. It’s just a smart margin call.
Not sure how to read the juice, totals, or all that extra fluff? We broke it down in our how to read point spread and how to bet point spread guides—fast, simple, no calculators needed.
Week 1 NFL Predictions Against the Spread
These aren’t gut picks. These are “we actually looked at the numbers so you don’t have to” picks. And yeah, we’re ready to flex them.
Eagles vs Cowboys (Thursday Night Football)
Line: Eagles –7
Pick: Eagles cover
Look, Philly at home in primetime? That crowd might personally sack Dak. We’re not overthinking it.
Chiefs vs Chargers (Brazil game)
Line: Chiefs –2.5
Pick: Chargers to cover
It’s neutral turf. Chargers usually play Mahomes tight. Weird kickoff time, travel chaos—give us the points.
Bills @ Ravens
Line: Bills –1.5
Pick: Ravens
Baltimore at home with Lamar healthy? Yes, please. Especially with the total sneaking over 50. Shootout alert.
Dolphins @ Colts
Line: Colts –1.5
Pick: Dolphins
Every fan with a phone is betting Miami. And you know what? We are too. This line feels like it forgot Tua exists.
Looking for more? The full nfl odds and predictions breakdown is live in our tool.
Long Shot Alerts and Public Traps
Every Week 1, there’s a dog that bites. Maybe it’s the Jets +5 catching the Patriots off a bad camp. Maybe it’s Bears +4 vs Vikings in a weird weather game.
We don’t just throw darts. We flag public traps. If 90% of bettors are riding one side and the line doesn’t move? Vegas is baiting you. We built betting tools for people who hate math to spot that stuff in seconds.
Want Totals, Moneylines, or Bonus Picks?
We see you, totals bettors and same‑game parlay sickos. We’ve got over under, futures, NFL betting odds and nfl odds and scores sections for all of it.
Total lines matter too. A game like Bills–Ravens with a 51.5 total? That’s a red flag for “last-minute backdoor cover.” Bet the spread, then maybe take a little nibble on the over. Just don’t brag until it cashes.
Recap: Fast Picks, Fast Edges
Here’s what we know:
- Point spread week 1 NFL lines are live.
- Favorites need to win big. Dogs just gotta keep it close.
- You don’t need a data warehouse—you need Shurzy.
Betting Week 1 is a vibe. Don’t miss it scrolling injury reports from 2021.
Check out our full betting toolset to start spotting profitable lines.
Want an edge before you even place a bet?
Start with a sportsbook that gives you real value from your first bet.
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