NFL

NFL Week 4 Recap for Online Bettors

NFL betting is all about speed, timing, and knowing when to ride the public or fade the hype. Week 4 gave us chaos: a 40–40 tie in Green Bay, Mahomes finding his groove, rookies stepping up, and a few heavy favorites going down. For anyone making NFL Sunday football picks, this week was a reminder that point spread betting never plays out the way it looks on paper. Below, we’ll break down the big storylines, NFL injury report updates, and what it all means for your NFL betting spreads and props going into Week 5.

Cowboys vs Packers Ends in a Rare Tie: Betting Fallout

Nobody likes a tie, especially in NFL betting. The Cowboys and Packers finished knotted at 40–40, making it one of the highest-scoring ties in league history. Bettors who took the over cashed easily, but moneyline tickets on both sides burned.

From a betting perspective, this game hammered home why watching NFL odds in Vegas can’t replace in-game adjustments. Dak Prescott went for 294 yards and three touchdowns without CeeDee Lamb, while Jordan Love completed 28 of 28 throws under 10 yards. For over under bettors, this was free money. But point spread betting fans saw heartbreak, as Dallas -3 bettors lost ground when Green Bay stormed back.

Takeaway: when quarterbacks are this hot, parlay bets stacking overs and player props like touchdown passes become live tickets.

Read more: NFL Betting: The Ultimate Guide for the 2025/2026 Football Season

Chiefs Look Like Contenders Again

Patrick Mahomes answered critics with four touchdown passes in a 37–20 win over the Ravens. Kansas City mixed in more under-center looks, and rookie receiver Xavier Worthy gave them speed they had been missing. For NFL betting today, this is huge. The Chiefs’ offense had looked shaky in September, but bettors can now trust their overs and spread covers again.

Baltimore, on the other hand, looked flat. Lamar Jackson struggled under pressure, and the NFL injury report for the Ravens is concerning. Key starters like Ronnie Stanley and Roquan Smith are banged up, making them risky plays for anyone looking at NFL odds by week. Keep that in mind when scanning NFL betting odds for their next matchup.

Example: A parlay with Mahomes 3+ TDs and Chiefs -7.5 paid out nicely, while bettors chasing Ravens props got stung.

Underdogs Bite: Giants and Jaguars Surprise

NFL Sunday football is never predictable. The New York Giants benched Russell Wilson for rookie Jaxson Dart, and it paid off. They upset the Chargers 21–18 as home dogs. The spread was Chargers -6, so anyone who faded the public scored. It’s a classic lesson in NFL betting public trends: just because the majority rides one side doesn’t mean it’s the right side.

The Jaguars also shocked the 49ers 26–21. A punt return touchdown and opportunistic defense (13 total takeaways now lead the league) flipped the script. Bettors who grabbed Jacksonville on the moneyline cashed tickets with +180 odds. For NFL betting spreads, it was another reminder: home dogs with momentum are dangerous.

Steelers Travel, Still Cash Tickets

The Steelers took down the Vikings 27–13 in Dublin, Ireland. They ran the ball at will and forced turnovers from Carson Wentz. For bettors, this game showed why tracking NFL odds and predictions overseas is tricky. The travel factor hurt Minnesota, but point spread betting on Pittsburgh (-3) hit clean. The over under (41.5) also cashed with ease.

When scanning NFL betting games on international soil, always consider travel legs and fatigue. Bettors who stacked a Steelers win with Derrick Henry anytime touchdown in parlay bets made a tidy profit.

Injuries Shift NFL Odds and Props

The NFL injury report is shaping betting lines more than ever. The Ravens’ injury list is long, and the 49ers are dealing with quarterback issues as Brock Purdy forces throws under pressure. Justin Herbert’s offensive line injuries also matter, especially with Joe Alt limping off in Week 4.

For NFL betting player props, keep an eye on snap counts. Wide receivers stepping in for injured starters can become cheap prop targets for receptions or yards. NFL odds and scores don’t tell the full story unless you scan the injury report first.

Example: Betting over 4.5 receptions on a backup receiver like Rashod Bateman (filling in for Odell Beckham Jr.) can turn into a sneaky winner.

NFL Odds in Vegas vs. Betting Online

Week 4 highlighted a key difference in NFL betting odds. Vegas books leaned heavy on favorites like the Chargers and 49ers, but online bettors who grabbed early lines got better prices. NFL odds in Vegas often react slower to injury news, while online books move fast.

That’s why NFL betting this week is all about timing. Grab numbers early if you believe in an upset or fade the NFL betting public if you see lopsided action. Online NFL odds and predictions give you an edge when compared against closing lines in Vegas.

Prop Bets and Over Under Winners

NFL betting props continue to be gold. Mahomes passing touchdowns, Jordan Love completions, and Steelers rushing totals all cashed in Week 4. For over under bettors, games like Cowboys-Packers and Chiefs-Ravens went comfortably over, while Giants-Chargers stayed under.

The lesson: NFL betting player props often pay better than spreads. Pairing them in parlay bets with spreads or totals creates high-value tickets. For example, “Mahomes 3+ TDs + Chiefs over 30.5 team points” paid at +300.

Public Trends vs. Sharp Angles

The NFL betting public hammered the Chargers, 49ers, and Ravens in Week 4. All three lost outright. Following the crowd rarely works. Sharps grabbed the Jaguars and Giants as dogs, and those bets hit. Watching where the public is stacked helps you fade when the numbers don’t make sense.

Week 4 recap NFL betting takeaway: track public betting percentages. If 70%+ of bets are on one side but the line moves the opposite way, it’s time to fade.

NFL Betting Odds Going Into Week 5

With Week 4 in the books, NFL odds and scores have reset the market. The Chiefs are back to being touchdown favorites, the Ravens’ spreads are shrinking, and the Cowboys-Packers tie keeps both teams in betting limbo. NFL odds by week shift fast after chaos like this, so look for value in teams coming off losses where the market overreacts.

NFL betting games this week include several divisional matchups, where spreads are tighter and unders hit more often. Keep that in mind before hammering overs in rivalry games.

Final Thoughts

NFL betting is all about reacting fast. Week 4 gave us ties, upsets, and injury-driven line moves. Bettors who stayed flexible—fading the public, watching injury reports, and stacking parlay bets—came out on top. Heading into Week 5, remember that point spread betting is only part of the game. NFL betting props, over under plays, and early line grabs often hold the real edge.

Check out our full betting toolset to start spotting profitable lines.

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