Our Top NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 5

Week 4 NFL Recap and What It Means for Props

Last week gave us a handful of lessons. Buffalo’s passing game finally exploded, cashing over bets and burning anyone who took the under. The Browns defense continued to lock teams down, showing why you can trust their unders. And Joe Burrow reminded us that elite QBs can look human when the matchup tilts against them.

All of that rolls into Week 5 NFL betting. When you’re targeting player props, you’re not just guessing who’s hot. You’re using the Week 4 NFL recap as a cheat sheet. Did a receiver just get 12 targets in a losing effort? That screams volume again. Did a running back disappear because his team fell behind? That’s a red flag if the spread looks steep in Week 5.

Read more: NFL Betting: The Ultimate Guide for the 2025/2026 Football Season

Injury Report Shaping NFL Betting This Week

The NFL injury report always tells a story. A single wideout ruled out can swing both receptions and yardage props. A missing cornerback can turn an average receiver into a prop darling overnight.

This week, keep an eye on running back injuries. A couple of top backs are questionable heading into Sunday. That means coaches may lean more on quarterbacks and receivers to carry the load. It’s also the kind of adjustment the books don’t always price in quickly. NFL betting odds in Vegas will shift when injuries become official, but props often lag. That’s where the edge lives.

Garrett Wilson Over 4.5 Receptions

The Jets head into Minnesota as four-point favorites, and this matchup sets up perfectly for Garrett Wilson. He’s cleared 4.5 receptions in three of his first four games. Rodgers is locked in on him as the first read, and the Vikings’ secondary has been giving up chunk plays all season.

This isn’t complicated. Wilson is averaging close to double-digit targets in games where the Jets have to throw, and the total for this matchup sits in the mid-40s. NFL betting props like this are about usage. Wilson is the clear WR1, and unless the Vikings somehow control the game on the ground, he’s going to see another 8–10 targets. That makes over 4.5 receptions a smart play.

Amari Cooper Anytime Touchdown

The Browns are slight favorites on the road against Washington, and this feels like an Amari Cooper week. The Commanders defense has been leaky in the red zone, especially against physical route-runners. Cleveland leans on Cooper when they get inside the 20, and his target share spikes when games stay close.

An anytime touchdown prop is always riskier than a yardage or receptions bet, but this one has the right ingredients. NFL odds and predictions suggest a lower-scoring game here, but that can actually boost Cooper’s chances. When points are at a premium, the Browns look for their most reliable option near the goal line. Cooper is that guy.

Joe Burrow Under Passing Yards

Sometimes the best NFL betting props are unders. Burrow is facing the Ravens in Week 5, and Baltimore’s defense is built to limit explosive plays. They’ve held opponents under expectations in passing yards three weeks running. Burrow still doesn’t look fully settled, and the Ravens’ pass rush is relentless.

If you’re used to betting overs, this one might feel uncomfortable. But NFL betting spreads and totals tell us a lot here. The number is modest, yet the under is still attractive because of game script. If Cincinnati falls behind, Burrow could rack up attempts, but the efficiency won’t be there. Unless he hits a couple of deep balls, this under has strong value.

Tre Tucker Over Receiving Yards

Here’s your sneaky play. With Davante Adams banged up, Tre Tucker has stepped into a bigger role for the Raiders. In Week 4, his routes and targets jumped noticeably, and the books haven’t fully caught up yet.

This is where NFL betting props separate you from the public. Casual bettors still see Tucker as a depth piece, but his snap count says otherwise. If Adams is limited again, Tucker has a shot at double-digit targets. A modest over on receiving yards is the right angle, especially if the Raiders fall behind early and have to throw.

Tying Props Back to Spreads and Parlays

Player props are best friends with point spread betting and parlays. If you like the Jets to cover against Minnesota, stacking Garrett Wilson’s over receptions makes sense — both bets rely on Rodgers carving up the secondary. If you’re fading the Bengals against Baltimore, pairing Burrow’s under with the Ravens to win outright ties the whole script together.

NFL betting this week is about telling yourself a story. If you think the Browns win a low-scoring game, Cooper anytime TD makes sense. If you think the Raiders chase points, Tucker’s over is logical. Parlays can turn those scripts into higher payouts, but be careful. One busted leg, and the whole ticket goes up in smoke.

What the Public Is Doing

The NFL betting public loves overs, stars, and favorites. Books know this. If 70% of the money is on a QB to go over his yardage, the sportsbook will shade the line higher, not because the QB is likely to smash it, but because they want to balance risk.

That’s why fading the public can be profitable. Burrow’s passing yards is a perfect example. Casual bettors see the name and slam the over. Smart bettors see the matchup and quietly play the under. That’s how you win long term.

Final Thoughts on Week 5 NFL Betting Props

Week 5 NFL Sunday football is loaded with sharp prop angles. Garrett Wilson over 4.5 receptions is as clean as it gets. Amari Cooper anytime touchdown has value against a soft Commanders defense. Joe Burrow under passing yards is the contrarian play that makes sense. And Tre Tucker over receiving yards is the kind of sneaky pick that separates you from the betting public.

NFL odds by week shift constantly, but props lag just enough to give you an edge. Pair them with spreads, sprinkle them in parlays, and keep an eye on the injury report right up to kickoff.

Check out our full betting toolset to start spotting profitable lines.