NFL

Super Bowl LX Betting Guide: Kicker Rankings and Reliability

For Super Bowl LX betting, the kickers matter most for FG/XP reliability, longest-FG props, and how confident you can be in team-total overs that rely on 3s instead of 7s. Among the four contenders, Seahawks and Broncos have the most reliable kickers by percentage, Patriots are solid, and Rams are the shakiest in this group when it comes to field goal reliability. This is your guide to kicker-driven betting edges on Championship Sunday.

February 9, 2026

Team-Level 2025 Kicking Snapshot

From team and player kicking stats:

Seahawks (Jason Myers)

Team FG: 41/48 (85.4-85.9%), longest 57 yards
Myers individually: 67/78 FGs over 2024-25 (85.9%), extra points 96.6%

Broncos (Wil Lutz)

Lutz: 59/66 FGs over 2024-25 (89.4%), 100% on extra points
Puts him in the top ~15 leaguewide in FG% over that two-year span

Patriots (Nick Folk)

Folk: 49/51 FGs (96.1%) over 2024-25, 100% on extra points
Highest FG% in that multi-season sample
51 attempts is a real workload, not a tiny sample

Rams (team FG unit)

Team FG: 22/28 (79.0%), longest 52 yards
That 79% ranks in the bottom half of the league and clearly behind the other three contenders

In simple reliability terms: Folk (Patriots) > Lutz (Broncos) ≈ Myers (Seahawks) > Rams kicker room

When evaluating kicker rankings nfl for Super Bowl LX, Nick Folk stands out with 96.1% field goal reliability over two seasons, making him the most bankable leg in this field.

Shurzy Tip: Nick Folk's 96.1% FG rate (49/51) over 2024-25 is elite. That's not just "good"—that's the highest field goal reliability among Super Bowl LX kickers. When Patriots reach FG range, it's money.

What This Means for Super Bowl LX Bets

1. Field Goal and Kicker-Points Props

Patriots & Broncos

High FG% and solid leg range support FG made Overs and kicker points Overs, especially in matchups vs strong red-zone defenses (Broncos, Rams, Seahawks).

Championship Sunday Application:

If Patriots face Rams:

Nick Folk Over 8.5 Points (-110) strong play
Folk's 96.1% FG rate + Rams' 46.2% red-zone TD rate = FG opportunities
Folk 3+ FGs Made (+150) viable value

If Broncos face Seahawks:

Wil Lutz Over 7.5 Points (-110) strong play
Lutz's 89.4% FG rate + Seahawks' 32.93% 3rd-down defense = stalled drives
Lutz 2+ FGs Made (-150) maximum confidence

Seahawks

Volume is there (2nd in FG attempts per game at 2.8) and Myers hits ~86%. Good profile for FG attempts and makes, especially if drives occasionally stall vs elite defenses.

Championship Sunday Application:

If Seahawks face Rams:

Jason Myers Over 8.5 Points (-110) viable
Myers' 85.9% FG rate + volume (2.8 attempts per game) = consistent scoring
Myers longest FG Over 47.5 (+120) strong play (57-yard long in 2025)

Rams

79% team FG rate introduces more risk for FG and team-total Overs that rely on 3-point drives. In tight spreads, missed FGs can be the difference between covering and not.

Championship Sunday Application:

If Rams face Patriots:

Fade Rams kicker Over 8.5 Points
79% FG rate (22/28) creates missed-kick risk
Rams more likely to go for it on 4th down (McVay aggressive) than settle for FGs

2. Longest Field Goal Props

Seahawks (57-yard long) and Broncos (Lutz with successful kicks in the mid-50s) give you real upside on longest-FG-Over lines set in the 47.5-50.5 range.

Rams have a 52-yard longest FG in 2025 - still competent, but their lower overall FG% makes them a slightly less appealing side in longest-FG matchups.

In a neutral-weather Super Bowl (Levi's Stadium), kickers with proven 55+ range (Myers, Lutz) are better candidates to clear longest-FG numbers.

Championship Sunday Application:

Jason Myers Longest FG Over 47.5 (+120):

57-yard career long in 2025
Hit 50+ yard FGs regularly
+120 odds imply 45.5% probability, true probability closer to 52-55%

Wil Lutz Longest FG Over 47.5 (+110):

Mid-50s range proven
89.4% FG rate suggests consistency at distance
Broncos' offense stalls at midfield (creates 50+ yard attempts)

Rams Kicker Longest FG Under 50.5 (-110):

52-yard career long
79% FG rate suggests struggles at distance
Fade longest FG Overs for Rams

When comparing kicker rankings nfl for longest field goal props, Jason Myers (57-yard long) and Wil Lutz (mid-50s range) clearly outclass the Rams' kicking unit, making them superior targets for longest FG Over bets.

3. Team Totals and Late-Game Reliability

Patriots:

With Folk at 96.1% over two seasons, their floor on stalled red-zone drives is high - they're more likely to come away with 3 than 0. That slightly boosts confidence in Patriots team-total Overs and in them protecting slim leads.

Championship Sunday Application:

If Patriots lead Broncos 17-14 in Q4, 4th-and-5 from Broncos' 28:

Folk's 96.1% FG rate makes "take the FG" decision safer
Patriots likely kick (not go for it)
Patriots -3 more likely to cover (reliable 3 points)

Rams:

At 79% FG, they are more "feast or famine". They might go for it on 4th more often (McVay's aggression) and their FG attempts are a bit less bankable. That adds variance around Rams team totals and close-game spreads.

Championship Sunday Application:

If Rams trail Seahawks 21-17 in Q4, 4th-and-4 from Seahawks' 35:

79% FG rate creates missed-kick risk
McVay likely goes for it (aggressive + unreliable kicker)
Rams -2.5 becomes riskier (no guaranteed 3 points)

Field goal reliability directly impacts how teams manage close games. Patriots' 96.1% rate makes them more likely to "take points," while Rams' 79% rate forces McVay into more aggressive 4th-down decisions.

Quick Reliability Ranking for Super Bowl LX Kickers

Based on 2024-25 FG% and role:

Nick Folk (Patriots) - 96.1% FG, 100% XP; most reliable leg
Wil Lutz (Broncos) - 89.4% FG, 100% XP; strong veteran
Jason Myers (Seahawks) - ~85.9% FG, 96.6% XP; good, with volume and range
Rams kicker room - 79% team FG; clearly the weakest group here

For Super Bowl LX betting, that means kicker-points and FG-related props are safest attached to Patriots, Broncos, and Seahawks, while Rams introduce the most volatility - something to keep in mind when your Overs depend on their kicker doing his part.

Best Kicker-Driven Bets for Championship Sunday

Best Kicker Bet #1: Nick Folk Over 8.5 Points (-110)

Confidence: Maximum
Stake: 3-4 units

Folk's 96.1% FG rate (highest in Super Bowl LX field) + Patriots' efficient offense creates reliable FG opportunities. Expect 3 FGs + 3 XPs = 12 points.

Best Kicker Bet #2: Jason Myers Longest FG Over 47.5 (+120)

Confidence: High
Stake: 2-3 units

Myers' 57-yard career long + Seahawks' 2.8 FG attempts per game (2nd in NFL) creates plus-money value on longest FG Over.

Best Kicker Bet #3: Wil Lutz 2+ FGs Made (-150)

Confidence: High
Stake: 2-3 units

Lutz's 89.4% FG rate + Broncos' average red-zone offense = reliable 2+ FG performance.

Weather and Kicker Props

Cold Weather (Below 32°F):

Field goal reliability decreases 8-12% in cold weather:

Ball harder to kick (less compression)
Footing less stable
Kickers' legs tighten up

Championship Sunday Application:

If Broncos host at Mile High (20°F):

Lutz's 89.4% FG rate drops to ~80-82%
Longest FG Under gains value (cold limits distance)
Kicker points Unders become viable

Wind (15+ MPH):

Field goal reliability decreases 14-18% in wind:

Ball trajectory affected
40+ yard FGs become risky
Kickers aim lower (sacrifices distance)

Championship Sunday Application:

If Seahawks play in 20 MPH wind:

Myers' 85.9% FG rate drops to ~70-75%
Longest FG Under strong play
Team total Under gains value (fewer FG makes)

When evaluating field goal reliability in adverse conditions, even elite kickers like Nick Folk (96.1%) see significant drops in make percentage, making weather-adjusted kicker props valuable betting opportunities.

Kicker Props and Game Script

Close Games (1-Score Margins):

Kicker importance increases 34%:

More conservative play-calling
More FG attempts
Kicker points Overs hit 68% in one-score games

Championship Sunday Application:

If Patriots-Rams projected as close game (spread ±3):

Nick Folk Over 8.5 Points maximum confidence
Close games = 4-5 FG attempts for Patriots
Folk's 96.1% FG rate cashes 4 of 5

Blowouts (14+ Point Margins):

Kicker importance decreases 42%:

More aggressive play-calling
Fewer FG attempts (TDs or turnovers)
Kicker points Unders hit 72% in blowouts

Championship Sunday Application:

If Seahawks-Broncos projected as blowout:

Fade kicker Overs
Leading team scores TDs (not FGs)
Trailing team turns ball over (no FG attempts)

Final Thoughts

For Super Bowl LX betting, kicker rankings nfl reveal a clear hierarchy: Nick Folk (96.1% FG rate) leads in field goal reliability, followed by Wil Lutz (89.4%) and Jason Myers (85.9%), while the Rams' 79% team rate creates the most volatility.

That means kicker-points and FG-related props are safest attached to Patriots, Broncos, and Seahawks, while Rams introduce the most uncertainty - something to keep in mind when your Overs depend on their kicker doing his part.

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