Super Bowl LX Betting Guide: Running Back Rankings and Usage Analysis

Overall RB Ranking for Super Bowl LX Context

Tier 1 - True Workhorse, Game-Plan Centerpiece

• Kyren Williams (Rams) - Elite usage, top efficiency
• Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots) - Lead back in a high-scoring offense

Tier 2 - High-Volume but More Game-Script Sensitive

• RJ Harvey (Broncos) - Rookie bell cow, efficiency swings
• Kenneth Walker III (Seahawks) - Talented, but historically split and role-dependent

Rams: Kyren Williams - Clear Workhorse

2025 Stats:

• 259 carries, 1,252 yards (4.83 YPC), 10 TDs
• Rams finished 1st in rushing success rate and rushing DVOA with the best adjusted line yards since 1995
• Career to date: 614 carries, 2,714 yards, 27 rush TDs; 78 catches, 461 receiving yards

Usage Takeaways:

True three-down back who dominates carries and gets regular passing-game work. Rams scheme and OL are built to feature him, not a committee.

Betting Angles:

Strong candidate for rushing-yards Overs, attempts Overs, and Anytime TD in neutral or positive scripts. Correlates tightly with Rams team-total Overs.

Championship Sunday Projection:

If Rams advance: Williams is a top-tier RB prop target for rushing yards, attempts, TDs, and possibly rushing+receiving combos.

The NFL Playoff Player Rankings Every RB Ranked guide provides complete RB efficiency rankings with usage analysis.

Patriots: Rhamondre Stevenson - Lead Back in Balanced Attack

2025 Stats:

• 130 carries, 603 yards (4.6 YPC), 7 rush TDs
• 32 catches, 345 yards, 2 TDs (43.1 rush YPG, 24.6 rec YPG)
• Patriots as a team: 128.9 rush YPG (6th), 28.8 PPG (2nd) on offense

Usage Takeaways:

Not a 25-carry grinder, but a high-leverage lead back with real TD equity and receiving usage. Red-zone and short-yardage role is strong. End-of-year spike games (131 rush yards and 3 TDs in Week 18) show ceiling when volume climbs.

Betting Angles:

Good for Anytime TD and combined rushing+receiving Overs, especially if you expect the Patriots to lead or keep script neutral. In pass-heavy, trailing scripts, pure rushing-yards Overs are riskier - receptions/rec-yards gain value.

Championship Sunday Projection:

If Patriots advance: Stevenson is a strong but script-sensitive RB1. Prioritize TD and combo-yardage Overs, adjust rushing-only bets based on how you see game flow.

The NFL Playoff Rushing Yard Props guide breaks down RB yardage projections by game script.

Shurzy Tip: Stevenson's value is in TD equity, not 100-yard games. He's scored in 8 of last 12 games. Bet the TD props, not just rushing yards.

Broncos: RJ Harvey - Rookie Bell Cow, Volatile Efficiency

2025 Stats:

Rookie game log shows multiple high-volume, TD-heavy games (e.g., 17-65-1, 7-50-1, 14-43 plus 5-33 receiving), plus several inefficient outings.

Late season: Denver leaned on him as RB1, with touches routinely in the mid-teens to high-teens and a five-game TD streak near the end of the year.

Depth chart: Harvey clearly listed as starter ahead of Tyler Badie and Jaleel McLaughlin.

Usage Takeaways:

Workload is there (true bell cow), but YPC has been volatile (multiple games under 3.0 YPC and some big spike weeks). Also used as a receiver (multiple 4-6 target games), which props up floor in negative scripts.

Betting Angles:

In any Broncos Super Bowl appearance, expect volume-driven props (attempts, total yards) to matter more than efficiency. Rushing-yards Overs are best in projected low-to-mid scoring, close games. In heavy-dog scripts, rushing+receiving or receptions Overs are safer.

Championship Sunday Projection:

If Broncos advance: Harvey is a volume bell cow with swingy YPC. Lean into attempts and total yards, and scale expectations if they're big underdogs.

The Best NFL Playoff Running Back Props guide updates weekly with RB usage trends and prop recommendations.

Seahawks: Kenneth Walker III - Talented but Historically Split

2025 Usage Early/Mid-Season:

Walker and Zach Charbonnet split more than fans liked. In one mid-year game Walker played 30 snaps vs Charbonnet's 15, with 11 vs 6 carries, despite "RB1" labeling.

Coaching commentary admitted to puzzling usage, with deliberate dual-RB deployment rather than pure feature-back treatment.

Usage Takeaways:

Walker is the more explosive and primary runner, but coaching tendencies have capped his carry ceiling more than talent would suggest. If Charbonnet is healthy in a Super Bowl setting, usage likely settles into a lead/share rather than a Kyren-style monopoly.

Betting Angles:

Rushing-yards Overs depend heavily on clarity of depth chart. With a healthy Charbonnet, be more price-sensitive and consider longest rush or Anytime TD rather than pure volume bets. If injuries or late-season shifts make Walker a true 20+ carry back again, he jumps closer to Tier 1 for rushing yards and attempts.

Championship Sunday Projection:

If Seahawks advance: Walker is a high-upside but coaching-dependent option. Check injury reports and coach quotes on usage before committing to heavy volume Overs.

The NFL Playoff Offense Rankings guide explains how offensive schemes affect RB usage.

How to Use This for Super Bowl LX Props

If You Get Rams in the Super Bowl:

Kyren Williams is a top-tier RB prop target: rushing yards, attempts, TDs, and possibly rushing+receiving.

Best bets:

• Williams Over 78.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
• Williams Anytime TD (-150)
• Williams Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (-120)

If You Get Patriots in the Super Bowl:

Stevenson is a strong but script-sensitive RB1: prioritize TD and combo-yardage Overs, adjust rushing-only bets based on how you see game flow.

Best bets:

• Stevenson Anytime TD (+150)
• Stevenson Over 60.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110)
• Stevenson Over 3.5 Receptions (+120)

If You Get Seahawks in the Super Bowl:

Walker is a high-upside but coaching-dependent option. Check injury reports and coach quotes on usage before committing to heavy volume Overs.

Best bets:

• Walker Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115) (if Charbonnet OUT)
• Walker Anytime TD (+170)
• Walker Longest Rush Over 15.5 Yards (-110)

If You Get Broncos in the Super Bowl:

Harvey is a volume bell cow with swingy YPC. Lean into attempts and total yards, and scale expectations if they're big underdogs.

Best bets:

• Harvey Over 15.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)
• Harvey Over 58.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
• Harvey Anytime TD (+200)

The NFL Playoff Prop Bets guide provides complete prop betting frameworks for volume vs efficiency plays.

Best RB Props for Championship Sunday

Best RB Prop #1: Kyren Williams Over 78.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Confidence: Maximum
Stake: 2-3 units

Elite usage (259 carries in 2025), Rams' 1st-ranked rushing success rate, best adjusted line yards since 1995.

Best RB Prop #2: Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD (+150)

Confidence: High
Stake: 1-2 units

Scored in 8 of last 12 games, 7 rushing TDs + 2 receiving TDs in 2025, clear red-zone role.

Best RB Prop #3: Kenneth Walker III Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Confidence: High (if Charbonnet OUT)
Stake: 1-2 units

100% backfield share with Charbonnet out, 23+ projected carries, 6.1 YPC in playoffs.

Pure Bettable Usage in Neutral Super Bowl Script

For ranking pure bettable usage in a neutral Super Bowl script, it's roughly:

1. Kyren Williams (most reliable workhorse)
2. Rhamondre Stevenson (lead back with strong TD role)
3. RJ Harvey (bell cow, but less proven and more game-script fragile)
4. Kenneth Walker III (talent high, usage more volatile due to committee history)

Read more: NFL Betting: The Ultimate Guide for the 2025/2026 Football Season

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