Super Bowl LX Betting Guide: Seattle Seahawks Anytime Touchdown Candidates

Seahawks' Scoring Reality: 24-27 Points Expected

Unlike the Patriots (14-17 points projected), Seattle has multiple paths to score 3-4 touchdowns:

• 2-3 passing TDs (Darnold to JSN, Kupp, Shaheed)
• 1-2 rushing TDs (Walker)
• 1-2 field goals
• Total: 24-30 points (realistic range)

This creates a diversified TD market where bettors can spread stakes across 3-4 legitimate TD threats without overextending.

Shurzy Tip: Seahawks will score 3-4 TDs. That's 3-4x more than Patriots (1-2 TDs max). You can actually diversify Seattle TD bets without being stupid. Stack Walker and JSN, sprinkle Kupp and Shaheed.

Read more: NFL Playoff Anytime Touchdown Betting Guide How to Bet TD Scorers

Tier 1: Must-Bet TD Candidates

1. Kenneth Walker III, RB (-180) — LOCK

Odds: -180 to -195

Hit Rate: 4 TDs in last 2 playoff games (3 vs 49ers, 1 vs Rams)

Projection: ~65-70% probability to score

Walker is the heaviest favorite on the entire Super Bowl TD board and for good reason. With Zach Charbonnet on IR after tearing his ACL in the divisional round, Walker has been Seattle's primary goal-line weapon, rushing for:

• 116 yards and 3 TDs on 19 carries vs 49ers (Divisional)
• 62 yards and 1 TD on 19 carries vs Rams (NFC Championship)
• 364 yards and 4 TDs over last 4 games (91 YPG average)

Walker's workhorse role is undeniable: he's averaging 20+ carries per playoff game and has converted 10 of 19 games into TD performances this season (including playoffs). His 50% hit rate doesn't quite justify the -180 odds (implied 64.3% probability), but the volume and goal-line usage make him the safest Seahawks TD bet.

Key Context: Charbonnet led the team with 12 rushing TDs during the regular season (6 from 1-2 yards out), but Walker has inherited 100% of those goal-line carries. If Seattle scores 2-3 rushing TDs, Walker will account for both.

Verdict: At -180, Walker is expensive but necessary. He's the Seahawks' goal-line hammer and will see 18-22 touches. If Seattle scores 24-27 points, Walker should account for 1-2 TDs.

Play: Kenneth Walker III Anytime TD (-180). 1.5-2 units.

Shurzy Tip: Walker has 4 TDs in 2 playoff games with Charbonnet out. He's getting 100% of goal-line carries. Expensive at -180 but it's the safest Seattle TD bet. Bite the juice.

Read more: NFL Playoff Prop Bets Guide Best Player Prop Strategies

2. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR (+100 to +106) — BEST VALUE

Odds: +100 to +106

Hit Rate: Scored in both playoff games (10 of 17 total games, 58.9%)

Projection: ~55-60% probability to score

JSN is the NFL's leading receiver (1,793 yards) and has been Sam Darnold's primary red-zone target all season. In the NFC Championship, JSN caught 10 of 12 targets for 153 yards and a TD, showcasing his ability to dominate in high-leverage games.

JSN's TD Upside:

• 14-yard TD catch in NFC Championship on blown coverage sail route
• Primary slot/outside weapon in Seattle's red zone (4-for-5 vs Rams)
• 36% target share—will see 10+ targets in Super Bowl

At +100 to +106, JSN is underpriced given his 58.9% TD hit rate and volume. Caesars offers +106, the best available price, making this a must-bet for Seahawks backers.

Verdict: At +100 to +106, JSN offers the best value on the entire Seahawks TD board. He's scored in both playoff games and is Darnold's first read in the red zone. This is a lock.

Play: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime TD (+106 at Caesars, +100 elsewhere). 1.5-2 units.

Shurzy Tip: JSN has 58.9% TD hit rate (scored in 10 of 17 games) but is priced at +100 to +106 (50% implied). That's pure value. Seattle went 4-for-5 in red zone vs Rams with Darnold throwing all 3 TDs inside the 20. Hammer JSN.

Read more: NFL Playoff Player Rankings for Bettors Every WR Ranked

Tier 2: Secondary TD Candidates (Strong Value)

3. Cooper Kupp, WR (+240 to +300) — VALUE PLAY

Odds: +240 to +300

Hit Rate: 1 TD in 2 playoff games (13-yard catch vs Rams)

Projection: ~25-30% probability to score

Kupp is past his prime at 33, but he remains a critical red-zone weapon and delivered a clutch performance against his former team in the NFC Championship. He caught 4-of-5 targets for 36 yards and a TD, including a crucial 12-yard third-and-9 conversion that kept Seattle's go-ahead drive alive.

Kupp's Red-Zone Role:

• 13-yard TD catch in NFC Championship on slant in traffic
• Veteran slot presence who finds soft spots in zone coverage
• Former Super Bowl LVI MVP with playoff pedigree

At +240 to +300, Kupp offers solid value as a secondary TD option given his usage in critical situations. The Patriots will likely focus on stopping JSN and Walker, creating one-on-one opportunities for Kupp in the red zone.

Verdict: At +240 to +300, Kupp is a value play (0.5-1 unit) that diversifies your Seahawks TD exposure. If Seattle scores 3-4 TDs, one could easily be Kupp's.

Play: Cooper Kupp Anytime TD (+300). 0.5-1 unit.

4. AJ Barner, TE (+225 to +250)

Odds: +225 at DraftKings

Hit Rate: 1 playoff TD (vs 49ers), limited regular-season usage

Projection: ~20-25% probability to score

Barner is Seattle's primary tight end and has been critical in short-yardage "tush push" situations, converting 10 of 11 attempts this season. While only one of those plays resulted in a TD (Seattle relied on Charbonnet at the goal line during the regular season), Barner's role has expanded with Charbonnet out.

Barner's TD Upside:

• Jake Bobo scored a TD in NFC Championship after fumbled punt (7-yard catch)
• Barner is Seattle's primary TE on passing downs and could see 4-6 targets
• Tush push weapon in goal-line situations

At +225, Barner is a secondary option who could score if Seattle gets inside the 5-yard line multiple times. However, Walker will be the primary goal-line back, limiting Barner's upside.

Lean: AJ Barner Anytime TD (+225). 0.25-0.5 unit only if you believe in TE usage.

Shurzy Tip: Kupp at +300 is the best secondary TD bet. Patriots will focus on JSN and Walker, leaving Kupp in 1-on-1s. He's 33 and past his prime, but he's still a red-zone weapon with Super Bowl experience.

Tier 3: Longshots with Upside

5. Rashid Shaheed, WR (+360 to +400) — UPSIDE PLAY

Odds: +360 to +380

Hit Rate: 1 playoff TD (95-yard kickoff return vs 49ers)

Projection: ~15-20% probability to score

Shaheed is Seattle's deep threat and return specialist who has impacted both playoff games despite limited offensive snaps. In the divisional round, he returned the opening kickoff 95 yards for a TD to give Seattle an immediate 7-0 lead. In the NFC Championship, he caught a 51-yard gain on the opening drive that set up Walker's TD.

Shaheed's TD Upside:

• Elite speed (8th-fastest 40-yard dash on 87-yard TD in Week 5)
• Kubiak knows how to use him (20 catches, 349 yards, 3 TDs in 6 games with Saints before ACL)
• Return specialist who can score on kickoffs/punts

At +360 to +380, Shaheed is a high-upside longshot who offers value if Seattle scripts a deep shot early or if he breaks a return. This is a small-stake lottery ticket that pays 3.6x if he scores.

Play: Rashid Shaheed Anytime TD (+360). 0.5 unit.

First TD Angle: Shaheed at +1800 to +2000 for first TD is a pure lottery ticket given his opening kickoff return TD vs 49ers. At +2000, this is a 0.25-unit flyer only.

6. Sam Darnold, QB (+500 to +600)

Odds: +500 to +600 (estimated)

Hit Rate: 0 rushing TDs in playoffs, minimal rushing role

Projection: ~10-12% probability to score

Darnold is not a rushing QB (5.3 rushing YPG in regular season, -1, 0, 9 yards in playoffs) and is unlikely to score unless Seattle runs a designed QB sneak or Darnold scrambles into the end zone on a broken play.

Verdict: At +500 to +600, Darnold is a pure lottery ticket. Pass unless you're building a long-odds SGP.

Lean: Pass.

Tier 4: Extreme Longshots (Avoid or Tiny Stakes)

7. George Holani, RB (+450)

Odds: +450

Hit Rate: Backup RB activated off IR, minimal usage expected

Projection: ~8-10% probability to score

Holani was activated off IR to provide depth after Charbonnet's injury, but he's a pure backup behind Walker. Unless Walker gets injured or Seattle blows out the Patriots and rests starters, Holani won't see meaningful touches.

Verdict: Pass.

8. Seahawks Defense/Special Teams (+400 to +450)

Odds: +400 to +450

Hit Rate: 0 defensive TDs in playoffs, but 25 takeaways in regular season

Projection: ~8-10% probability to score

Seattle's defense has forced 25 turnovers during the regular season and 3 vs 49ers in the divisional round, but they haven't scored a defensive TD in the playoffs. At +400 to +450, a defensive TD offers longshot value given Devon Witherspoon's, Riq Woolen's, and Julian Love's speed to score on interceptions.

Verdict: At +400, this is a tiny-stake lottery ticket (0.25-0.5 unit) that pays off if Seattle's defense delivers a pick-six.

Play: Seahawks Defensive TD (+400). 0.25-0.5 unit only.

Final Seahawks Anytime TD Card

Must-Bets (Core Positions):

• Kenneth Walker III Anytime TD (-180) — (1.5-2 units) — Goal-line hammer, workhorse role
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime TD (+106 at Caesars) — (1.5-2 units) — Best value, red-zone weapon

Secondary Plays (Value):

• Cooper Kupp Anytime TD (+300) — (0.5-1 unit) — Veteran slot presence, clutch red-zone target

Upside Longshots:

• Rashid Shaheed Anytime TD (+360) — (0.5 unit) — Deep threat, return specialist
• Seahawks Defensive TD (+400) — (0.25-0.5 unit) — Lottery ticket

Avoid:

• AJ Barner (+225) — Limited upside behind Walker/JSN
• Sam Darnold (+500+) — Not a rushing QB
• George Holani (+450) — Backup role, minimal usage

Seahawks TD Strategy: Build a Diversified Portfolio

Unlike the Patriots (who will score 1-2 TDs max), the Seahawks will score 3-4 touchdowns, creating opportunities to diversify across multiple players.

Sample 10-Unit Seahawks TD Portfolio:

• 2 units: Kenneth Walker Anytime TD (-180)
• 2 units: JSN Anytime TD (+106)
• 1 unit: Cooper Kupp Anytime TD (+300)
• 0.5 unit: Rashid Shaheed Anytime TD (+360)
• 0.25 unit: Seahawks Defensive TD (+400)

This portfolio covers all likely TD scorers while maintaining upside via Shaheed and defensive TDs. If Seattle scores 27 points (3 TDs + 2 FGs), you should cash 2-3 of these bets, generating positive ROI.

The Seahawks will score. Bet accordingly.

Shurzy Tip: Seattle will score 3-4 TDs. Diversify across Walker (1.5-2 units), JSN (1.5-2 units), Kupp (0.5-1 unit), and Shaheed (0.5 unit). If Seattle scores 27 points, you cash 2-3 of these bets for positive ROI.

Read more: NFL Betting: The Ultimate Guide for the 2025/2026 Football Season

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