Super Bowl LX Betting Guide: Wide Receiver Rankings and Coverage Matchups

Top Wideout Rankings (Super Bowl LX Pool)

Tier 1 - True Alpha WR1

• Puka Nacua (Rams) - Volume monster, elite efficiency
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) - Explosive target hog

Tier 2 - Strong WR1, More Scheme/QB Dependent

• Courtland Sutton (Broncos) - Classic X, deep and red-zone threat
• Stefon Diggs (Patriots) - Veteran No. 1 in a spread-out room

Rams: Puka Nacua vs Perimeter CB1s

2025 Stats:

• 129 receptions (1st in NFL), 1,715 yards (2nd), 10 TD (T-6th)
• Detailed log: 114 catches for 1,592 yards (14.0 per catch) and 8 TD in 14 games (113.7 yards per game)
• Career with Rams: 298 catches, 4,068 yards, 17 TDs in 42 games (96.9 yards per game)

Role and Usage:

True high-volume alpha who lines up across the formation, wins vs man and zone, and is the Rams' primary first-read on critical downs.

Coverage Implications:

In a Super Bowl vs New England or Denver, he likely sees a mix of CB1 plus bracket coverage, with the defense willing to concede shorter throws and fight to cap explosives.

Against Seattle, he already faced their secondary all year - their best coverage options still struggled to erase him over four quarters.

Betting Angles:

Receptions and yardage Overs often still viable even vs good secondaries because of sheer volume. Longest reception is matchup-sensitive - if facing a defense that "keeps it in front," you may favor volume props over deep-ball props.

The NFL Playoff Player Rankings Every WR Ranked guide provides complete WR efficiency rankings with coverage analysis.

Shurzy Tip: Nacua led the NFL with 129 receptions. That's 9.2 per game. Volume is king. Bet receptions Over, not just yards.

Seahawks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs Slot / No. 1 CB

2025 Stats:

• 119 receptions (3rd in NFL), 1,793 yards (1st), 10 TD (4th), 163 targets
• Target share climbed from 17% as a rookie to 24% in 2024 and 35.8% in 2025, confirming true WR1 status

Role and Usage:

Seattle's clear top option, heavily targeted at all levels of the field, with enough downfield work to generate explosives as well as chain-moving volume.

Coverage Implications:

Vs Rams: He draws a mix of top CB inside/out plus safety help on key downs. LA's pass rush may force shorter aDOT routes, improving his reception floor but potentially capping extreme yardage.

Vs Patriots/Broncos: Those defenses can roll coverage his way and dare secondary receivers to beat them.

Betting Angles:

Receptions Overs are attractive in any script where Seattle is likely to throw often. Yardage and longest-reception Overs depend on how well his OL holds up vs the pass rush - against heavy pressure fronts, lean more to volume than deep shots.

The NFL Playoff Receiving Yard Props guide breaks down WR yardage projections by coverage scheme.

Patriots: Stefon Diggs as WR1 in a Spread Room

Patriots' 2025 WR Stats:

• Stefon Diggs: 85 receptions, 1,013 yards, 4 TD (59.6 yards per game)
• Support: Mack Hollins (550 yards), DeMario Douglas (447), Kayshon Boutte (551 yards, 6 TD)

Context:

Patriots averaged 28.8 PPG (2nd), 262.3 passing yards per game (4th), with Drake Maye distributing the ball broadly. Diggs is still the WR1, but red-zone and vertical work is more spread out than with Nacua/JSN.

Coverage Implications:

In a Super Bowl vs an NFC team, expect CB1 and rolled safety help toward Diggs, with defenses also respecting Boutte and Douglas. Because New England has multiple threats, it's harder for defenses to "erase" Diggs completely, but his target share isn't as extreme as Nacua/JSN.

Betting Angles:

Moderate yardage Overs and Anytime TD can be attractive at the right price, but his raw volume ceiling is a bit lower than the true alphas. Coverage likely pushes Maye to secondary options at times, so be cautious about extreme alt-yardage ladders.

The Best NFL Playoff Wide Receiver Props guide updates weekly with WR target share trends.

Broncos: Courtland Sutton and Troy Franklin vs CB1/CB2

Broncos 2025 Advanced WR Stats:

• Courtland Sutton: 74 receptions, 1,017 yards (13.7 YPR), strong air-yards profile (1,543 air yards; 20.9 air yards per target), 41 catches of 10+ yards, 17 of 20+ yards, long 52
• Troy Franklin: 65 receptions, 709 yards (10.9 YPR), meaningful YAC and intermediate usage, 26 catches of 10+ yards, 9 of 20+ yards, long 48

Role and Usage:

Sutton is the classic outside X WR with volume and deep targets. Franklin is a strong WR2 who can win underneath and intermediate.

Coverage Implications:

In any Super Bowl matchup, Sutton likely gets true CB1 treatment and safety attention over the top, especially since his air-yards share is high. Franklin is the likely beneficiary of coverage shading to Sutton, especially on in-breaking and intermediate routes.

Betting Angles:

Sutton longest reception Overs can still have value if the opponent plays single-high or blitzes frequently. Franklin can be a sneaky receptions/yardage Over play if markets under-price his WR2 role while defenses tilt toward Sutton.

The NFL Playoff Reception Props guide explains how coverage affects reception volume.

How Coverage Styles Affect These WR Props

Defenses That Play More Man and Blitz:

Create higher volatility - more chances for big plays and for drive-killing incompletions or sacks.

Defenses That Stay in Two-High Shells and Zone:

Tend to limit explosive passes and force long drives, raising reception volume but lowering longest-reception odds.

For Super Bowl LX WR Betting:

High-Volume Alphas (Nacua, JSN):

• Safer plays: Receptions and standard yardage Overs in neutral/pass-heavy scripts
• More opponent-dependent plays: Longest-reception and big alt-yardage ladders, best vs single-high or aggressive fronts

Secondary WRs (Franklin, Boutte/Douglas):

• Strong when you expect CB1/safety help to shade away from them
• Props to watch: Modest yardage Overs and receptions, particularly in matchups where WR2/slot usage historically spikes

The All 32 NFL Teams Ranked guide provides team-level offensive rankings for WR usage context.

Best WR Props for Championship Sunday

Best WR Prop #1: Puka Nacua Over 92.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Confidence: Maximum
Stake: 2-3 units

129 receptions (1st in NFL), 113.7 yards per game, hit Over in 11 of 14 games.

Best WR Prop #2: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Confidence: Maximum
Stake: 2-3 units

1,793 yards (1st in NFL), 35.8% target share (elite), Over in 12 of 17 games.

Best WR Prop #3: Courtland Sutton Longest Reception Over 25.5 Yards (+110)

Confidence: High
Stake: 1-2 units

20.9 air yards per target, 17 catches of 20+ yards, long 52 - plus-money value on explosives.

Final Thoughts

Nacua and JSN are the true WR1 engines for Super Bowl-caliber passing games, Diggs is a strong but more distributed WR1, and Sutton is a high-aDOT X who'll see top corners.

How their props perform will come down as much to the coverage shell and pass rush they face as to raw talent or season totals.

Read more: NFL Betting: The Ultimate Guide for the 2025/2026 Football Season

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