Outdoor Games: Do They Actually Change Betting Edges?
Outdoor NHL games feel like they should be an automatic betting edge: weather, sightlines, weird ice, a baseball stadium layout, and hype-driven public money. The reality is more nuanced. Outdoor games do change conditions, but they do not change them in a single direction (like "always under"), and the market has gotten much better at pricing the novelty. First, the scoring environment is not inherently suppressed. NHL Records show that outdoor games have produced extreme high-scoring outcomes, including an 11-goal Stadium Series game (Rangers 6, Islanders 5 OT) in February 2024.